The BCM Model

Stochastic mortality models have a wide range of applications. They are particularly
important for analysing Chinese mortality, which is subject to rapid and uncertain changes. The BCM model is a stochastic mortality model that is built to suit the data availability in China. Mortality projection along with measures of uncertainty can be obtained using this MATLAB software package.

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This software package is developed from the following paper authored by the CUHK Actuarial Science Research Team and their co-authors:

Li, J.S.-H., Zhou, K.Q., Zhu, X., Chan, W.S. and Chan, F.W.H. (2019). A Bayesian Approach to Developing a Stochastic Mortality Model for China. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, 182(4), 1523-1560.